UM05-11: The Role of Conventional Retirement Age in Retirement Decisions

Previous research documents the increased hazard of retirement at "conventional" retirement ages, especially the "early" and "normal" retirement ages defined by Social Security. Future public and private (employer) policies will change retirement incentives in ways that may (or may not)…

UM05-12: Gender, Marriage, and Asset Accumulation in the United States

Older women tend to be in more precarious financial situations than older men, and marital status plays an important role in determining the financial well-being of older women. Understanding the underlying causes of differences in life-cycle wealth accumulation by gender…

UM05-13: How to Integrate Disability Benefits into a System with Individual Accounts: The Chilean Model

Chile offers a unique case study of the joint functioning of a national retirement system with private accounts and a national disability insurance program with both public and private elements. The Chilean system uses a worker's retirement savings account as…

UM05-14: Savings, Portfolio Choice, and Retirement

Household investment decisions crucially determine the consequences of personal accounts and the adequacy of Social Security and pensions after retirement. We propose to analyze portfolio composition dynamics before and after retirement using 1992-2002 HRS data (especially the SSA-funded user-friendly RAND…

UM05-15: Personal Social Security Accounts: Quantifying the Macro and Efficiency Effects

This project will use a large-scale overlapping-generations lifecycle model incorporating idiosyncratic wage shocks and uncertain lifetimes to calculate the macroeconomic effects and efficiency gains from different approaches to creating personal accounts. The analysis will include the risk sharing aspects of…

UM05-16: Changing Health Insurance Options and SSI Participation Among the Elderly

This project seeks to study interactions among SSI, OASDI, and Medicare and Medicaid. It will use data from the HRS and SIPP, matched to SSA administrative records, to estimate individuals’ choices about SSI application. The Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program…

UM05-18: Market and Non-Market Activities of Older Americans

This project will examine older Americans’ non-market time allocation using the new American Time Use Survey. It will generate results indicating: 1) How older workers spend time among market work, household production, leisure and personal care (essentially a novel accounting…

UM05-19: Efficiency Gains and Social Security Reform

This project has two parts. First, it proposes to generalize existing retirement models to include health and employer constraints as well as worker choice. Second, it proposes to present and analyze a Social Security reform designed to promote efficiency. Specifically,…

UM05-S1: Estimating the Life Cycle Effects of Subjective Survival Probabilities in the Health and Retirement Study

This paper attempts to confirm the life-cycle relationship that lower subjective survival probabilities should lead to less positively sloped consumption trajectories. I use the results of six waves of subjective survival probability questions in the HRS to construct an index…

UM05-S2: Trading Behavior in 401(k) Plans

Relatively little research has been done on trading patterns of participants in 401(k) plans, despite their importance in the US retirement arena. This paper initiates an investigation into a new database covering in 1,530 defined contribution (401(k) retirement plans covering…

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